South African Rhino Poachers
Decision-Making Diagram

Node: FAMMEM Value_Labels: dissatisfied ambivalent satisfied
                                                     00.333  00.333

Node: FAM Value_Labels: dissatisfied ambivalent satisfied
Parents: FAMMEM INACTN
                       dissatisfied no_input_action  00.333  00.333
                 dissatisfied sponsor_poaching_raid  00.100  00.800
                      dissatisfied seize_rhino_horn  00.800  00.100
              dissatisfied arrest_poaching_suspects  00.600  00.300
               dissatisfied shoot_poaching_suspects  00.700  00.200
                       dissatisfied ecosystem_state  00.333  00.333
                         ambivalent no_input_action  00.333  00.333
                   ambivalent sponsor_poaching_raid  00.100  00.800
                        ambivalent seize_rhino_horn  00.800  00.100
                ambivalent arrest_poaching_suspects  00.600  00.300
                 ambivalent shoot_poaching_suspects  00.700  00.200
                         ambivalent ecosystem_state  00.333  00.333
                          satisfied no_input_action  00.333  00.333
                    satisfied sponsor_poaching_raid  00.100  00.800
                         satisfied seize_rhino_horn  00.800  00.100
                 satisfied arrest_poaching_suspects  00.600  00.300
                  satisfied shoot_poaching_suspects  00.700  00.200
                          satisfied ecosystem_state  00.333  00.333

Node: PCG Value_Labels: unattained middling attained
Parents: FAM INACTN
                       dissatisfied no_input_action  00.333  00.333
                 dissatisfied sponsor_poaching_raid  00.100  00.800
                      dissatisfied seize_rhino_horn  00.800  00.100
              dissatisfied arrest_poaching_suspects  00.600  00.300
               dissatisfied shoot_poaching_suspects  00.700  00.200
                       dissatisfied ecosystem_state  00.333  00.333
                         ambivalent no_input_action  00.333  00.333
                   ambivalent sponsor_poaching_raid  00.100  00.800
                        ambivalent seize_rhino_horn  00.800  00.100
                ambivalent arrest_poaching_suspects  00.600  00.300
                 ambivalent shoot_poaching_suspects  00.700  00.200
                         ambivalent ecosystem_state  00.333  00.333
                          satisfied no_input_action  00.333  00.333
                    satisfied sponsor_poaching_raid  00.100  00.800
                         satisfied seize_rhino_horn  00.800  00.100
                 satisfied arrest_poaching_suspects  00.600  00.300
                  satisfied shoot_poaching_suspects  00.700  00.200
                          satisfied ecosystem_state  00.333  00.333

Node: IIWP Value_Labels: will_be_arrested_for_poaching no_interaction
Parents: INACTR INACTN
                          no_group1 no_input_action  00.100
                    no_group1 sponsor_poaching_raid  00.100
                         no_group1 seize_rhino_horn  00.100
                 no_group1 arrest_poaching_suspects  00.100
                  no_group1 shoot_poaching_suspects  00.100
                          no_group1 ecosystem_state  00.100
                          middlemen no_input_action  00.100
                    middlemen sponsor_poaching_raid  00.100
                         middlemen seize_rhino_horn  00.100
                 middlemen arrest_poaching_suspects  00.100
                  middlemen shoot_poaching_suspects  00.100
                          middlemen ecosystem_state  00.100
                         anti-poach no_input_action  00.100
                   anti-poach sponsor_poaching_raid  00.200
                        anti-poach seize_rhino_horn  00.300
                anti-poach arrest_poaching_suspects  00.400
                 anti-poach shoot_poaching_suspects  00.100
                         anti-poach ecosystem_state  00.100
                           rhinoeco no_input_action  00.100
                     rhinoeco sponsor_poaching_raid  00.100
                          rhinoeco seize_rhino_horn  00.100
                  rhinoeco arrest_poaching_suspects  00.100
                   rhinoeco shoot_poaching_suspects  00.100
                           rhinoeco ecosystem_state  00.100

Node: APG Value_Labels: unattained middling attained
Parent: IIWP
                      will_be_arrested_for_poaching  00.900  00.050
                                     no_interaction  00.050  00.050

Node: CTARGET Value_Labels: one,anti-poach two,middlemen,rhinoeco
Parent: ACTN
                                         do_nothing  00.900
                              take_legal_employment  00.300
                             sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.300
                           sell_several_rhino_horns  00.100
                              sell_many_rhino_horns  00.300

Node: NMPOACHED Parameters: b0 (0.0 1.0)
Parents: INACTN ACTN ORDERSIZE
                    no_input_action do_nothing size  0.000
         no_input_action take_legal_employment size  0.000
        no_input_action sell_a_few_rhino_horns size  00.600
      no_input_action sell_several_rhino_horns size  00.800
         no_input_action sell_many_rhino_horns size  1.000
              sponsor_poaching_raid do_nothing size  0.000
   sponsor_poaching_raid take_legal_employment size  0.000
 sponsor_poaching_raid sell_a_few_rhino_horns size  00.600
 sponsor_poaching_raid sell_several_rhino_horns size  00.800
   sponsor_poaching_raid sell_many_rhino_horns size  1.000
                   seize_rhino_horn do_nothing size  0.000
        seize_rhino_horn take_legal_employment size  0.000
       seize_rhino_horn sell_a_few_rhino_horns size  00.500
     seize_rhino_horn sell_several_rhino_horns size  00.700
        seize_rhino_horn sell_many_rhino_horns size  00.900
           arrest_poaching_suspects do_nothing size  0.000
 arrest_poaching_suspects take_legal_employment size  0.000
 arrest_poaching_suspects sell_a_few_rhino_horns size  00.400
 arrest_poaching_suspects sell_several_rhino_horns size  00.600
 arrest_poaching_suspects sell_many_rhino_horns size  00.800
            shoot_poaching_suspects do_nothing size  0.000
 shoot_poaching_suspects take_legal_employment size  0.000
 shoot_poaching_suspects sell_a_few_rhino_horns size  00.300
 shoot_poaching_suspects sell_several_rhino_horns size  00.500
 shoot_poaching_suspects sell_many_rhino_horns size  00.700
                    ecosystem_state do_nothing size  0.000
         ecosystem_state take_legal_employment size  0.000
        ecosystem_state sell_a_few_rhino_horns size  1.000
      ecosystem_state sell_several_rhino_horns size  1.000
         ecosystem_state sell_many_rhino_horns size  1.000

Node: SIIWP Value_Labels: will_be_arrested_for_poaching no_interaction
Parent: ACTN
                                         do_nothing  00.020
                              take_legal_employment  00.020
                             sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.60
                           sell_several_rhino_horns  00.80
                              sell_many_rhino_horns  00.90

Node: SFAM Value_Labels: dissatisfied ambivalent satisfied
Parents: FAM ACTN
                            dissatisfied do_nothing  00.980  00.010
                 dissatisfied take_legal_employment  00.980  00.010
                dissatisfied sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.980  00.010
              dissatisfied sell_several_rhino_horns  00.980  00.010
                 dissatisfied sell_many_rhino_horns  00.980  00.010
                              ambivalent do_nothing  00.980  00.010
                   ambivalent take_legal_employment  00.980  00.010
                  ambivalent sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.980  00.010
                ambivalent sell_several_rhino_horns  00.980  00.010
                   ambivalent sell_many_rhino_horns  00.980  00.010
                               satisfied do_nothing  00.980  00.010
                    satisfied take_legal_employment  00.980  00.010
                   satisfied sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.980  00.010
                 satisfied sell_several_rhino_horns  00.980  00.010
                    satisfied sell_many_rhino_horns  00.980  00.010

Node: SPCG Value_Labels: unattained middling attained
Parents: SFAM PCG ACTN
                 dissatisfied unattained do_nothing  00.600  00.300
      dissatisfied unattained take_legal_employment  00.400  00.300
     dissatisfied unattained sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.100  00.100
   dissatisfied unattained sell_several_rhino_horns  00.050  00.050
      dissatisfied unattained sell_many_rhino_horns  00.010  00.010
                   dissatisfied middling do_nothing  00.500  00.400
        dissatisfied middling take_legal_employment  00.500  00.400
       dissatisfied middling sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.100  00.100
     dissatisfied middling sell_several_rhino_horns  00.050  00.050
        dissatisfied middling sell_many_rhino_horns  00.010  00.010
                   dissatisfied attained do_nothing  00.400  00.500
        dissatisfied attained take_legal_employment  00.600  00.300
       dissatisfied attained sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.100  00.100
     dissatisfied attained sell_several_rhino_horns  00.050  00.050
        dissatisfied attained sell_many_rhino_horns  00.010  00.010
                   ambivalent unattained do_nothing  00.600  00.300
        ambivalent unattained take_legal_employment  00.400  00.300
       ambivalent unattained sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.100  00.100
     ambivalent unattained sell_several_rhino_horns  00.050  00.050
        ambivalent unattained sell_many_rhino_horns  00.010  00.010
                     ambivalent middling do_nothing  00.500  00.400
          ambivalent middling take_legal_employment  00.500  00.400
         ambivalent middling sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.100  00.100
       ambivalent middling sell_several_rhino_horns  00.050  00.050
          ambivalent middling sell_many_rhino_horns  00.010  00.010
                     ambivalent attained do_nothing  00.400  00.500
          ambivalent attained take_legal_employment  00.600  00.300
         ambivalent attained sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.100  00.100
       ambivalent attained sell_several_rhino_horns  00.050  00.050
          ambivalent attained sell_many_rhino_horns  00.010  00.010
                    satisfied unattained do_nothing  00.600  00.300
         satisfied unattained take_legal_employment  00.400  00.300
        satisfied unattained sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.100  00.100
      satisfied unattained sell_several_rhino_horns  00.050  00.050
         satisfied unattained sell_many_rhino_horns  00.010  00.010
                      satisfied middling do_nothing  00.500  00.400
           satisfied middling take_legal_employment  00.500  00.400
          satisfied middling sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.100  00.100
        satisfied middling sell_several_rhino_horns  00.050  00.050
           satisfied middling sell_many_rhino_horns  00.010  00.010
                      satisfied attained do_nothing  00.400  00.500
           satisfied attained take_legal_employment  00.600  00.300
          satisfied attained sell_a_few_rhino_horns  00.100  00.100
        satisfied attained sell_several_rhino_horns  00.050  00.050
           satisfied attained sell_many_rhino_horns  00.010  00.010

Node: SAPG Value_Labels: unattained middling attained
Parents: APG SIIWP
           unattained will_be_arrested_for_poaching  00.900  00.050
                          unattained no_interaction  00.050  00.050
             middling will_be_arrested_for_poaching  00.800  00.100
                            middling no_interaction  00.050  00.050
             attained will_be_arrested_for_poaching  00.700  00.200
                            attained no_interaction  00.050  00.050

Node: APRICE Parameters: beta_0 (0.0 1.0) beta_1 (0.05 2.0)
Parents: SAPG INBPRICE
                                   unattained price  0.000  1.040
                                     middling price  0.000  1.040
                                     attained price  0.000  1.040

Node: OGA Value_Labels: utility
Parents: SPCG SAPG
                              unattained unattained  00.100
                                unattained middling  00.200
                                unattained attained  00.300
                                middling unattained  00.400
                                  middling middling  00.500
                                  middling attained  00.600
                                attained unattained  00.700
                                  attained middling  00.800
                                  attained attained  00.900
